Delegate Dereck Davis raised $125,000 in Q3, and has $200K cash on hand. At the end of Q2, he had $168K COH, so he spent $93,000, yielding a very high burn rate of 74%. He now sits fourth in the CD4 COH race:
Ivey $400,000
Pena-Melnyk $305,000
Brown $250,000
Davis $200,000
Delegate Dereck Davis announced that he’s been endorsed by Derrick Davis. Wait, what? Oh yeah, there’s two of them, Derrick being the Prince George’s County councilman. He endorsed Delegate Dereck Davis today, as did a total of 18 delegates, half of whom are members of the Economic Matters Committee, of which Davis is the chair. John Fritze has the story.
Democrat Del. Dereck E. Davis, running for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, picked up the endorsement of a well-known Prince George’s County councilman on Saturday as well as more than a dozen members of the General Assembly.
Davis, the chairman of the House Economic Matters Committee, locked down support from County Councilman Derrick Davis as well as Prince George’s County Dels. Jay Walker, Angela M. Angel and Darryl Barnes, among others.
Nine of the lawmakers endorsing Davis serve with him on the powerful economic matters committee, which has broad oversight of the state’s banking industry, business and utility regulation and economic development.
Actually, it’s 10 ECM members. The full list (ECM members in bold):
Angela M. Angel (25)
Vanessa E. Atterbeary (13)
Charles E. Barkley (39)
Darryl Barnes (25)
Benjamin T. Brooks Jr. (10)
Ned Carey (31A)
Bill Frick (16)
Cheryl D. Glenn (45)
Sally Y. Jameson (32)
Adrienne A. Jones (10)
Benjamin F. Kramer (19)
Mary Ann Lisanti (34A)
Will C. Smith Jr. (20)
Frank S. Turner (13)
Joseph F. Vallario Jr. (23B)
Michael Vaughan (24)
Jay Walker (26)
C.T. Wilson (28)
So to recap, two of Davis’ D25 colleagues, two neighboring PG colleagues, 10 ECM members, two fellow chairs/co-chairs, and two others. The ways of the world in Annapolis.
Attached is another side by side topline analysis of the filed and reported congressional candidates, this time for CD4. UPDATE: The Brown report is now available online, and I have updated the numbers to reflect this. The differences are minimal.
Some comments below. Overall, I don’t know that I would call anyone in this race a big winner. There are questions for everyone. This is shaping up as something of a free for all. From the top:
Glenn Ivey: it’s good to be first, no question, so a pat on the back for that. On the other hand, he raised $117,000 in two weeks in March, so $275,000 as a follow up is good, but not great. Is he slowing down? He’s very top heavy with money from the legal profession (nothing wrong with that, of course) but can he break out and broaden the base in the third quarter?
Ingrid Turner: she’s not really second, she’s actually fifth, if you discount the loan money, but it does show a lot of commitment to drop $220K in right off the bat. But she has demonstrated very little fundraising prowess, and even at $40K, $2700 of that is a contribution from herself. She either has to step up the fundraising or pony up more money. Most of those I’ve spoken to about her situation think she went all in this time, so it’s time to hit the phones.
Joseline Pena-Melnyk: I’m biased, I gave to her, but I honestly think she’s in very good position. She has more cash on hand than the former lieutenant governor and a sitting committee chair. Only Glenn Ivey has demonstrated more fundraising clout than she has. Other factors: nobody works harder than Joseline, she’s by far the most progressive of the candidates, and if she continues to show solid fundraising numbers in Q3, rumblings are that national progressive groups will be looking hard at throwing significant IE money her way.
Dereck Davis: Yes, he got started later than everyone else. Yes, I have no doubt that he can raise a lot of money. But he didn’t. If he was going to wait until late May to crank it up, he should have put up a better number than this (see Matthews, Kathleen over in CD8). I know he can do better and raise more, but this was a missed opportunity for him. And his report reads like a who’s who of the lobbying and business communities: max contributions from Bruce Bereano and Gerry Evans, for starters. Can he raise his game on the numbers? Can he broaden his base and show more support from actual people? I’d bet on yes, at least as to the dollars.
Anthony Brown: the COH numbers, when put in a table, don’t look THAT bad. He’s only about $30-40K behind Pena-Melnyk and Davis. Even Ivey is only $180K ahead. But coming off the disastrous 2014 general election results, I don’t get any sense that there’s a fundraising rally lurking in the shadows for Brown. His name recognition is high (eight years in the legislature, followed by eight years as LG, will do that), but every other indicator is awful. Unless he can turn around perceptions and energize his campaign, things don’t look good here.
Warren Christopher: he’s put in $70K of his own money. Like Ingrid Turner, give him props for throwing down a wad of cash. Raising $23K, however, is not so good.
Lisa Ransom: the numbers pretty much speak for themselves.
Two other candidates were rumored to be running. Terence Strait filed for candidacy, but has not filed a fundraising report. Alvin Thornton has done neither. Not sure where they’d fit into this race, which already has four very viable candidates (five if Ingrid Turner can raise some money, which remains to be seen).
Right now, my take is this: in order, it’s Ivey, Pena-Melnyk, Davis and Brown. Up arrow for Pena-Melnyk, down arrow for Brown, holding steady for Ivey and Davis. I’ll withhold judgment on Ingrid Turner until the next reporting period.
$168,000 cash on hand. I have limited online capacity right now so more later.
Source: Baltimore Sun
Jessica Semachko, former political director of SEIU Local 1199 MD-DC State Council, is now the campaign manager for CD4 candidate Dereck Davis.
Here’s a snapshot of the three top-tier CD4 candidates on Act Blue as of around 2:50 today.
One major candidate, Glenn Ivey, is not on Act Blue. He raised $117,000 in the first quarter, so it’s likely that he’s still far ahead of anyone else, unless he blew it all at the poker tables at Maryland Live. Also, Ingrid Turner is not on Act Blue either. Until we see some numbers from her, it’s hard to say whether she belongs in the conversation.
The interesting question is who’s going to emerge as the leader from this group. It very well could be Joseline Pena-Melnyk, who’s raised more than either Anthony Brown or Dereck Davis on Act Blue (full disclosure, I donated to Joseline).
Here’s why I think this:
In the first quarter, Brown raised $52K to Pena-Melnyk’s $42K, so we need to see the totals. Last quarter, she raised $4400 online while Brown raised $5300. Brown has raised $16K online this quarter to Pena-Melnyk’s $61K – she crushed him. Both raised substantially more in offline contributions last quarter, so we have to guess a little. Oh, can we please?
Right now, Pena-Melnyk’s gross that we know of is around $103,000 (last quarter’s $42K plus the $61K raised online this quarter). Brown’s known gross is $67,000 (last quarter’s $52K plus this quarter’s online haul of $15K). If Anthony Brown doesn’t outraise Joseline Pena-Melnyk by $36,000, he’s pretty much done. Last quarter that margin was $10,000. My guess is, he doesn’t make it. I even think it’s possible that she beats him outright.
As for Dereck Davis, we have to see. Will he raise substantially more in checks than in online contributions? Don’t know, we don’t have the history that we do for the others. My sense is that, even starting late, $37K isn’t anything to get excited about for a guy with Davis’ power and reach – but again, we don’t know for sure until we see the mix of online versus offline money.
And Ivey – did he keep it up from the first quarter? He raised $117K in three weeks – did he raise double or triple that number or more last quarter? Did he put up a number that I’m expecting out of the leaders in CD8, $400-600K? If he did, he’s the heavy, heavy favorite going forward. But if not, if he’s at $200-300K cash on hand, then he’s still got more work to do.
Now we wait. Tick tock.
As promised, I have compiled a chart of the state level political contributions made by each candidate for Senate, CD4 and CD8. Only donations by individuals are counted here. It doesn’t purport to be an exact science – elected officials like Chris Van Hollen have donated large quantities of money through the DCCC, PACs and slates, but I didn’t want to make the work any harder for my diligent research assistant (or me, for that matter) so I drew an arbitrary line at individual contributions.
I also decided to take out candidate contributions or loans to their own campaigns. Just contributions.
Also note that the state database only goes back to 1999. Contributions prior to that date will not show up on this search.
Here’s the summary.
Senate
Donna Edwards: 22 contributions, $3,260, average $148 (Largest: Equality Maryland PAC, Anthony Brown (2006), 500 each)
Chris Van Hollen: None
CD4
Anthony Brown: 1 contribution, $1,000 (Charles County Democratic Central Committee)
Warren Christopher: 5 contributions, $4,620, average $924 (Largest: Victor Ramirez $4,000)
Dereck Davis: None
Glenn Ivey: 2 contributions, $55, average $28 (Largest: Rushern Baker $30)
Joseline Pena-Melnyk: 17 contributions, $3,070, average $181 (Largest: Jim Rosapepe $1,000)
Alvin Thornton: 2 contributions, $200, average $100 (Largest: Dennis Smith and Kenneth Johnson, $100 each)
Ingrid Turner: 6 contributions, $2,085, average $347 (Largest: Alonzo Washington, $1000)
CD8
Kumar Barve: 1 contribution, $100 (Largest: Samuel Epps, $100)
Valerie Ervin: 13 contributions, $3,040, average $198 (Largest: 2 contributions of $1,000 each to State Democratic Central Committee)
Ana Sol Gutierrez: 8 contributions, $1,474, average $184 (Largest: $550 to Rich Madaleno)
Will Jawando: 5 contributions, $338, $68 average (Largest: $150 to Ken Ulman)
Kathleen Matthews: 1 contribution, $1,000 (Largest: $1,000 to Doug Duncan)
Jamie Raskin: 30 contributions, $5,780, $193 average (Largest: $500 each to Anthony Muse, Jim Mathias, Catherine Pugh, Equality Maryland PAC and Doug Gansler)
Detailed lists are attached for each race.
For those of us playing the home version of the game, things have gotten messy. So being spring, it’s time for a clean start with a fresh new scoresheet.
Senate:
Declared and Running: Donna Edwards, Chris Van Hollen
Still Thinking About It: Elijah Cummings
Finally Actually Thinking About It: Dutch Ruppersberger
Probably Not This Time: John Sarbanes
Likes To Torture Bloggers With Conflicting Signals, But Also Likely Not Running: John Delaney
CD4:
In: Anthony Brown, Dereck Davis*, Glenn Ivey, Joseline Pena-Melnyk, Ingrid Turner*
Mulling It Over: Jay Walker
Rumored: Anthony Muse, Kris Valderrama
* Declared as candidates, but have yet to file with the FEC
CD8:
Off to the Races: Kumar Barve, Ana Sol Gutierrez, Will Jawando, Jamie Raskin
Likely: Valerie Ervin, Kathleen Matthews
Still in the Conversation: Ariana Kelly, Susan Lee, Jeff Waldstreicher
The Diamondback, the UMCP paper of record, has a nice summary out today of the state of the various election contests.
In the seven weeks since Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Maryland) announced her retirement, a wave of political frenzy has unfolded, with several state politicians announcing their intentions to run for Congress.
Go read it.
One teensy little bone to pick with reporter Jon Banister. Dude, next time call the “political frenzy” a “scramble,” OK? But either way, it’s a hell of a lot better reporting than the big shots downtown are doing lately.
This is a big, big deal. A new candidate in CD4. And not one on my prior list. I had a Derrick Davis, but not a Dereck Davis. The latter is the Chairman of the House Economic Matters Committee and widely regarded as the future successor to Speaker Mike Busch. The Baltimore Sun has the details.
“Democrat Del. Dereck E. Davis, the powerful and well-respected chair of the state’s House Economic Matters Committee, said Wednesday he plans to run for Congress.
Davis said he will formally announce his candidacy for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District in the coming days, but plans to take a “low key approach” to launching his bid for the House seat being left open by Democrat Rep. Donna Edwards.”
Maryland Scramble 