A truly hilarious “analysis” article today from Politico about what Republican “insiders” think about Donald Trump’s prospects. While the headline is that Trump has “peaked,” the article itself says no such thing.
About three quarters of Republican early-state insiders say they believe Donald Trump has peaked — but many acknowledge that may also be wishful thinking.
That’s the assessment from this week’s POLITICO Caucus, our weekly bipartisan survey of the top operatives, strategists and activists in Iowa and New Hampshire.
The controversial real estate mogul and GOP presidential candidate provoked some caucus insiders into offering expletives and other colorful language when asked whether Trump has hit his ceiling.
“Who let that ruffian into the house?”
“Has somebody checked on the candlesticks? Are they all there? How about the china?”
“Oh my God I think I might just faint.”
Not really. But this is close.
“I hope and pray that he has peaked,” added another Granite State Republican, who like all participants was granted anonymity in order to speak freely. “The GOP has a chance in 2016 and it diminishes each time Trump increases his poll numbers.”
Hahahahahahahaha. And ha again, just for good measure.
And there’s more fun stuff in the article. The quadrennial pumping up of the guy who has no shot but but is liked by the establishment has begun. Apparently, the conventional wisdom is that Jeb Bush better watch out for Ohio Governor Jon Huntsman. Oops, I mean John Kasich. Sorry. I get them confused, because neither one has any chance of accomplishing anything other than in the fever dreams of the respectable bipartisan establishment of conventional wisdom that is the “POLITICO Caucus.” Get a load of some of the fantasy land nonsense being spouted here.
Half of Iowa Republicans and 54 percent of New Hampshire Republicans say Bush has the most to lose from Kasich — and 60 percent of Democrats agree.
Both Kasich and Bush are fighting over the ‘reform-minded governor’ niche,” said one Granite State Republican. “Moreover, Kasich has an ability to eat away at Bush’s advantage among independents who would vote in … New Hampshire’s open Republican primary.”
“He’s Jeb Bush by a different last name,” added an Iowa Republican. “And that is important to people who are worried about nominating another Bush.”
In New Hampshire, where both Kasich and Christie are also seeking to court the center-right vote, several caucus participants noted that the Garden State governor was also vulnerable to losing some support to the Ohio executive.
“He moves exactly into their air space,” said a New Hampshire Republican who thinks Kasich could pull from both Bush and Christie, if he can keep his notoriously short temper in check. “He does town halls as well as Christie and has a record of getting things done that exceeds Bush. I guarantee that every voter who is considering Bush/Christie will now also look at Kasich.”
“Blunt-talking governors who have a successful record full of left leaning policy baggage draw from the same side of the pond,” argued another.
I guess John Kasich is a “liberal” because he took the free ACA money and because he even professes to care about poor people. Only in the “POLITICO Caucus” does that make someone a liberal.
Personally, I agree with this guy.
But some caucus participants — particularly those in Iowa — were skeptical that Kasich would gain enough traction to pull votes from anyone.
“Nobody is talking about Kasich,” said one Hawkeye State Republican.
He will get lots of press, he will be talked about a lot on the teevee, and eventually it will amount to nothing. That’s the state of play in your modern Republican Party, when the successful GOP governor of Ohio can’t even get a sniff from the denizens of the swamp who vote in primaries.
All in all a very entertaining and enjoyable read. If you want to know what’s not going to happen, this article – and Politico in general – is for you.