The Baltimore Sun has a good piece just posted this morning assessing the reelection prospects of Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake, complete with a list of potential candidates. Go read the whole thing. Here’s a sample:
A few months ago, many pundits considered the mayor practically unbeatable. The city’s crime and unemployment rates were down. She had substantial money in her campaign account. She even flirted with a run for U.S. Senate.
Then rioting broke out — followed by a dramatic spike in homicides.
Now, with the Democratic primary less than a year away, many are speculating whether Rawlings-Blake could survive a formidable challenge, though no opponent has officially emerged.
“The word on the street, as they say, is the mayor’s performance during and immediately after the riot in the city has really hurt her and that she is vulnerable should a credible candidate come forward,” said Donald F. Norris, director of the School of Public Policy at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County.
Who’s running? Well, nobody – yet. But a long list of candidates are rumored to be considering the race, including Senator Catherine Pugh, City Council President Jack Young, Councilmen Nick Mosby and Carl Stokes, and Delegate Jill Carter. And former Mayor Sharon Dixon (removed from office after her conviction for embezzlement in 2010) is likely to run as well. “I’m doing some homework,” Dixon said of a potential campaign.
Two who aren’t running – Comptroller Joan Pratt and author Wes Moore.
The Sun noted that this will be the first election since Baltimore aligned its mayoral contests with presidential election years. Nina Kasniunas, political science professor at Goucher, is quoted about an SRB-Dixon matchup: “You’re going to get a different electorate that’s participating. That name recognition will do everything for Rawlings-Blake. The people voting in the presidential primaries are just going to remember Dixon’s scandal with the gift cards.”
One weakness of the story – they don’t even mention my “crazy idea” of Elijah Cummings for mayor. Big time sad face on that one. Cummings needs a post of his own, but as he was so ready to run for Senate, doesn’t it make anyone say “hmmmm” that he’s pulled back for such an extended period now?
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